Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.047028 0.051163 0.055353 0.059910 0.064719 0.069635 0.075035
2024-10-06 0.041373 0.047512 0.053955 0.061196 0.069078 0.077375 0.086740
2024-10-13 0.036734 0.044354 0.052614 0.062170 0.072858 0.084384 0.097692
2024-10-20 0.031887 0.040460 0.050047 0.061448 0.074521 0.088932 0.105909
2024-10-27 0.028822 0.038263 0.049124 0.062355 0.077855 0.095260 0.116106
2024-11-03 0.025507 0.035451 0.047217 0.061893 0.079440 0.099491 0.123875
2024-11-10 0.023064 0.033466 0.046096 0.062190 0.081784 0.104518 0.132532
2024-11-17 0.021226 0.032061 0.045536 0.063041 0.084700 0.110165 0.141906
2024-11-24 0.020596 0.032137 0.046769 0.066067 0.090245 0.118965 0.155073
2024-12-01 0.017956 0.029336 0.044157 0.064116 0.089547 0.120169 0.159115
2024-12-08 0.016158 0.027533 0.042710 0.063528 0.090447 0.123243 0.165361
2024-12-15 0.014655 0.026022 0.041544 0.063210 0.091614 0.126594 0.171921
2024-12-22 0.014110 0.025886 0.042266 0.065438 0.096137 0.134255 0.183978
2024-12-29 0.013246 0.025212 0.042200 0.066590 0.099273 0.140213 0.194000
2025-01-05 0.012377 0.024461 0.041975 0.067494 0.102073 0.145761 0.203558
2025-01-12 0.011072 0.022922 0.040534 0.066653 0.102516 0.148282 0.209317
2025-01-19 0.010374 0.022298 0.040379 0.067566 0.105280 0.153780 0.218859
2025-01-26 0.009363 0.021070 0.039255 0.067050 0.106074 0.156709 0.225136
2025-02-02 0.008643 0.020272 0.038729 0.067347 0.107945 0.161030 0.233200
2025-02-09 0.008124 0.019778 0.038632 0.068236 0.110614 0.166393 0.242618
2025-02-16 0.008154 0.020273 0.040091 0.071424 0.116501 0.176046 0.257646
2025-02-23 0.007063 0.018608 0.038047 0.069361 0.115006 0.175880 0.259918
2025-03-02 0.006360 0.017605 0.037005 0.068739 0.115492 0.178323 0.265574